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Sunday 10 September 2017, 16:00 Dacia Arena Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
52% 26% 22%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
22.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 51.5% 1.94
Draw 26.3% 3.80
Genoa 22.2% 4.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.13
Over 1.5 73.7% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.3% 3.80
Over 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Under 2.5 52.2% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.1% 3.83
Under 3.5 73.9% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.1% 8.29
Under 4.5 87.9% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.6% 1.98
No 49.4% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 77.8% 1.28
Udinese / Genoa 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Genoa 48.5% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
6.6
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
11.4
12.5
5.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.8
9.5
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.2
5.1
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.1
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.