Sunday 24 September 2017, 16:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
46%
25%
29%
Home win
45.6%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
29.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Chievo | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Chievo | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
6.1
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
11.9
|
7.2
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
9.3
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
5.2
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
0-3
Cagliari
Oct 2018
Cagliari
2-1
Chievo
Feb 2018
Chievo
2-1
Cagliari
Apr 2017
Cagliari
4-0
Chievo
Nov 2016
Chievo
1-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.