Saturday 17 February 2018, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
39%
28%
34%
Home win
38.5%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
33.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Chievo / Cagliari | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
8.5
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
13.3
|
7.8
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
8.5
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
3.8
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
0-3
Cagliari
Oct 2018
Cagliari
2-1
Chievo
Sep 2017
Cagliari
0-2
Chievo
Apr 2017
Cagliari
4-0
Chievo
Nov 2016
Chievo
1-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.