Sunday 21 January 2018, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
72%
17%
11%
Home win
72.2%
Draw
16.7%
Away win
11.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Chievo | 11.0% | 9.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.9% | 7.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.8% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Lazio / Chievo | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
2.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
7.6
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
9.3
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.5
|
8.0
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
5.1
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Lazio
1-2
Chievo
Dec 2018
Chievo
1-1
Lazio
Aug 2017
Chievo
1-2
Lazio
Jan 2017
Lazio
0-1
Chievo
Sep 2016
Chievo
1-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.