Friday 22 December 2017, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
39%
29%
32%
Home win
38.9%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
31.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Bologna | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 68.3% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Chievo / Bologna | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
9.6
|
5.8
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
13.9
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
8.2
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
3.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Bologna
3-0
Chievo
Nov 2018
Chievo
2-2
Bologna
May 2018
Bologna
1-2
Chievo
Mar 2017
Bologna
4-1
Chievo
Oct 2016
Chievo
1-1
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.