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Sunday 19 March 2017, 16:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
4–1
HT 0–1
32% 32% 36%
Home win
32.2%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
36.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 32.2% 3.11
Draw 31.5% 3.17
Chievo 36.3% 2.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.66
Over 1.5 62.9% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.1% 2.69
Over 2.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 2.5 64.9% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.1% 6.19
Under 3.5 83.9% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.08
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.32
No 57.0% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 63.7% 1.57
Bologna / Chievo 68.5% 1.46
Draw / Chievo 67.8% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
12.5
7.3
2.6
0.7
0.2
1
11.6
14.3
7.4
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
6.2
6.8
3.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.1
2.3
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Chievo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.