Wednesday 26 October 2016, 21:45
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
49%
30%
21%
Home win
49.0%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
20.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Bologna | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.2% | 7.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.9% | 6.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.1% | 16.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Chievo / Bologna | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.2
|
8.8
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.6
|
13.3
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
8.3
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Bologna
3-0
Chievo
Nov 2018
Chievo
2-2
Bologna
May 2018
Bologna
1-2
Chievo
Dec 2017
Chievo
2-3
Bologna
Mar 2017
Bologna
4-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.