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Monday 11 December 2017, 22:00 Stadio Olimpico Full time
1–3
HT 0–0
64% 18% 18%
Home win
64.2%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
17.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 64.2% 1.56
Draw 18.2% 5.48
Torino 17.5% 5.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 42.77
Over 1.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.2% 10.92
Over 2.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 2.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 3.5 55.6% 1.80
Under 3.5 44.4% 2.25
Over 4.5 36.1% 2.77
Under 4.5 63.9% 1.56

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.8% 1.45
No 31.2% 3.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 82.5% 1.21
Lazio / Torino 81.8% 1.22
Draw / Torino 35.8% 2.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
2.2
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
1
4.6
7.2
4.5
2.0
0.7
0.2
2
6.6
8.8
5.9
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
5.7
7.6
5.1
2.3
0.8
0.2
4
3.7
5.0
3.3
1.5
0.5
0.1
5
1.9
2.6
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.