Sunday 3 December 2017, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
33%
23%
44%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
44.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Lazio | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| No | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Lazio | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
5.2
|
5.4
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
4.3
|
9.8
|
8.7
|
5.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
7.4
|
7.0
|
4.4
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
4.0
|
3.7
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
1-1
Lazio
May 2022
Lazio
2-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Lazio
Feb 2021
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.