Saturday 4 November 2017, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
29%
28%
43%
Home win
29.0%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
43.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 29.0% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Genoa / Sampdoria | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
10.1
|
7.9
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
13.2
|
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
7.1
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.7
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Sampdoria
1-0
Genoa
Dec 2021
Genoa
1-3
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Genoa
1-1
Sampdoria
Nov 2020
Sampdoria
1-1
Genoa
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
Genoa
Dec 2019
Genoa
0-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.