Sunday 29 October 2017, 16:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
38%
30%
32%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
31.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Genoa | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.8% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.6% | 5.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Spal / Genoa | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
10.2
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
14.0
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
8.0
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
3.2
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Genoa
2-0
Spal
Nov 2019
Spal
1-1
Genoa
Apr 2019
Spal
1-1
Genoa
Dec 2018
Genoa
1-1
Spal
Mar 2018
Genoa
1-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.