Sunday 1 October 2017, 16:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
46%
31%
23%
Home win
46.4%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
22.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Crotone | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.5% | 7.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.1% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.5% | 6.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.9% | 17.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| No | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Spal / Crotone | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.5
|
9.4
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.3
|
13.6
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|