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Sunday 27 August 2017, 21:45 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
33% 30% 37%
Home win
33.2%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
37.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 33.2% 3.01
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Hellas Verona 37.1% 2.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.44
Over 1.5 68.2% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.8% 3.15
Over 2.5 41.0% 2.44
Under 2.5 59.0% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.5% 4.87
Under 3.5 79.5% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.57
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.9% 2.09
No 52.1% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 62.9% 1.59
Crotone / Hellas Verona 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Hellas Verona 66.8% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
11.0
7.1
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
10.2
14.0
7.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.2
7.4
4.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
2.3
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Hellas Verona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.