Sunday 22 October 2017, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
61%
24%
16%
Home win
60.8%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
15.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Genoa | 15.5% | 6.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.8% | 7.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Genoa | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
5.2
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.4
|
11.2
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Jan 2026
AC Milan
1-1
Genoa
May 2025
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Dec 2024
AC Milan
0-0
Genoa
May 2024
AC Milan
3-3
Genoa
Oct 2023
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.