Sunday 24 September 2017, 13:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
34%
28%
38%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
38.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / AC Milan | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
9.5
|
6.8
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
13.4
|
8.4
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
7.8
|
5.1
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
3.2
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
AC Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Sep 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Feb 2022
AC Milan
1-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2021
Sampdoria
0-1
AC Milan
Apr 2021
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.