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Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:45 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
22% 27% 51%
Home win
21.7%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
51.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 21.7% 4.61
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Sampdoria 51.0% 1.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.51
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.40
Over 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.8% 4.39
Under 3.5 77.2% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.0% 10.01
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 49.0% 2.04
Hellas Verona / Sampdoria 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Sampdoria 78.3% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
12.7
10.2
5.2
2.0
0.6
1
7.2
12.9
9.3
4.7
1.8
0.5
2
3.6
5.5
4.2
2.1
0.8
0.2
3
1.1
1.7
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.