Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:45
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
22%
27%
51%
Home win
21.7%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
51.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 10.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona / Draw | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona / Sampdoria | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
12.7
|
10.2
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
12.9
|
9.3
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
5.5
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Sampdoria
3-1
Hellas Verona
Sep 2022
Hellas Verona
2-1
Sampdoria
Apr 2022
Hellas Verona
1-1
Sampdoria
Nov 2021
Sampdoria
3-1
Hellas Verona
Apr 2021
Sampdoria
3-1
Hellas Verona
Dec 2020
Hellas Verona
1-2
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.