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Saturday 16 September 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
87% 9% 4%
Home win
86.9%
Draw
9.4%
Away win
3.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 86.9% 1.15
Draw 9.4% 10.68
Hellas Verona 3.7% 26.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 43.78
Over 1.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.7% 10.30
Over 2.5 74.6% 1.34
Under 2.5 25.4% 3.94
Over 3.5 54.6% 1.83
Under 3.5 45.4% 2.20
Over 4.5 35.0% 2.85
Under 4.5 65.0% 1.54

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.9% 2.23
No 55.1% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 96.3% 1.04
AS Roma / Hellas Verona 90.6% 1.10
Draw / Hellas Verona 13.1% 7.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
6.4
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
10.9
6.8
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
11.9
7.4
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
9.7
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
6.3
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Hellas Verona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.