Saturday 16 September 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
87%
9%
4%
Home win
86.9%
Draw
9.4%
Away win
3.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.4% | 10.68 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona | 3.7% | 26.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 43.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.7% | 10.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.0% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Hellas Verona | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Hellas Verona | 13.1% | 7.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.9
|
6.8
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.9
|
7.4
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.7
|
6.1
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.3
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Hellas Verona
0-2
AS Roma
Sep 2025
AS Roma
2-0
Hellas Verona
Apr 2025
AS Roma
1-0
Hellas Verona
Nov 2024
Hellas Verona
3-2
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AS Roma
2-1
Hellas Verona
Aug 2023
Hellas Verona
2-1
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.