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Saturday 26 August 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
1–3
HT 1–0
60% 21% 19%
Home win
60.0%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
19.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 60.0% 1.67
Draw 20.9% 4.79
Inter 19.1% 5.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.03
Over 1.5 85.9% 1.16
Under 1.5 14.1% 7.10
Over 2.5 66.1% 1.51
Under 2.5 33.9% 2.95
Over 3.5 44.3% 2.26
Under 3.5 55.7% 1.80
Over 4.5 25.7% 3.89
Under 4.5 74.3% 1.35

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.5% 1.60
No 37.5% 2.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 80.9% 1.24
AS Roma / Inter 79.1% 1.26
Draw / Inter 40.0% 2.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
3.4
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
6.8
9.3
5.2
2.1
0.6
0.1
2
8.1
9.7
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
6.0
7.2
4.3
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
3.3
4.0
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
1.5
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.