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Sunday 10 September 2017, 16:00 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
36% 27% 37%
Home win
36.0%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
36.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 36.0% 2.77
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Fiorentina 36.7% 2.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.39
Over 1.5 75.8% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.2% 4.14
Over 2.5 50.6% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.4% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.5% 3.50
Under 3.5 71.5% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.7% 7.31
Under 4.5 86.3% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.6% 1.80
No 44.4% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 63.3% 1.58
Hellas Verona / Fiorentina 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Fiorentina 64.0% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
8.4
6.2
2.8
0.9
0.3
1
8.3
13.0
8.3
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
6.1
8.2
5.6
2.5
0.9
0.2
3
2.7
3.7
2.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: Fiorentina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.