Sunday 10 September 2017, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
36%
27%
37%
Home win
36.0%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
36.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 36.0% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.5% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.7% | 7.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona / Draw | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona / Fiorentina | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
8.4
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
13.0
|
8.3
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
8.2
|
5.6
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
3.7
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Hellas Verona
0-1
Fiorentina
Dec 2025
Fiorentina
1-2
Hellas Verona
Feb 2025
Hellas Verona
1-0
Fiorentina
Nov 2024
Fiorentina
3-1
Hellas Verona
May 2024
Hellas Verona
2-1
Fiorentina
Dec 2023
Fiorentina
1-0
Hellas Verona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.