Sunday 28 May 2017, 19:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
19%
23%
58%
Home win
19.2%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
57.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Napoli | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 18.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.6% | 5.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Napoli | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
9.1
|
9.5
|
6.2
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
10.8
|
9.9
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
5.3
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.9
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2023
Napoli
2-0
Sampdoria
Jan 2023
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Jan 2022
Napoli
1-0
Sampdoria
Sep 2021
Sampdoria
0-4
Napoli
Apr 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Dec 2020
Napoli
2-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.