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Sunday 15 October 2017, 21:45 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
3–2
HT 1–0
54% 24% 22%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
21.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 53.7% 1.86
Draw 24.5% 4.09
AC Milan 21.9% 4.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.80
Over 1.5 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Over 3.5 32.4% 3.09
Under 3.5 67.6% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.3% 6.12
Under 4.5 83.7% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.5% 1.80
No 44.5% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 78.1% 1.28
Inter / AC Milan 75.5% 1.32
Draw / AC Milan 46.3% 2.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
5.4
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
9.5
11.6
5.9
2.1
0.6
0.1
2
9.2
9.8
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
5.5
5.9
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.5
2.6
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.