Sunday 1 October 2017, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
27%
25%
47%
Home win
27.5%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
47.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| AC Milan / AS Roma | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
8.3
|
7.6
|
4.3
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
11.8
|
9.5
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
6.9
|
5.9
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
2.9
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
AS Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
AS Roma
3-1
AC Milan
Dec 2024
AC Milan
1-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AC Milan
3-1
AS Roma
Sep 2023
AS Roma
1-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.