Sunday 22 October 2017, 16:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
37%
28%
35%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
34.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Spal / Sassuolo | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
8.7
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
13.3
|
8.0
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.3
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.7
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Spal
1-2
Sassuolo
Sep 2019
Sassuolo
3-0
Spal
Feb 2019
Sassuolo
1-1
Spal
Sep 2018
Spal
0-2
Sassuolo
Mar 2018
Sassuolo
1-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.