Sunday 11 March 2018, 16:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
44%
27%
29%
Home win
43.6%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
28.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Spal | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Spal | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
7.7
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
13.1
|
7.1
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
9.0
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
4.4
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Spal
1-2
Sassuolo
Sep 2019
Sassuolo
3-0
Spal
Feb 2019
Sassuolo
1-1
Spal
Sep 2018
Spal
0-2
Sassuolo
Oct 2017
Spal
0-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.