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Sunday 4 February 2018, 16:00 Allianz Stadium Full time
7–0
HT 4–0
78% 15% 6%
Home win
78.5%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
6.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 78.5% 1.27
Draw 15.2% 6.58
Sassuolo 6.4% 15.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.50
Over 1.5 81.3% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.7% 5.34
Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 3.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 3.5 63.5% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 4.5 80.6% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.8% 2.45
No 59.2% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 93.6% 1.07
Juventus / Sassuolo 84.8% 1.18
Draw / Sassuolo 21.5% 4.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
11.3
7.2
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
8.4
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.9
6.9
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
7.3
4.3
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.