Saturday 27 January 2018, 21:45
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
10%
20%
70%
Home win
10.3%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
70.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 10.3% | 9.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Juventus | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Chievo / Juventus | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Juventus | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
12.2
|
13.6
|
9.6
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
3.6
|
9.3
|
9.3
|
6.6
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
1.4
|
3.0
|
3.2
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Juventus
3-0
Chievo
Aug 2018
Chievo
2-3
Juventus
Sep 2017
Juventus
3-0
Chievo
Apr 2017
Juventus
2-0
Chievo
Nov 2016
Chievo
1-2
Juventus
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.