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Saturday 6 January 2018, 21:45 Sardegna Arena Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
11% 19% 70%
Home win
11.0%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
70.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 11.0% 9.07
Draw 18.6% 5.39
Juventus 70.4% 1.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.01
Over 1.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.0% 5.57
Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Over 3.5 37.5% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.2% 4.95
Under 4.5 79.8% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.3% 1.99
No 49.7% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 29.6% 3.38
Cagliari / Juventus 81.4% 1.23
Draw / Juventus 89.0% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
9.8
11.9
9.1
5.2
2.4
1
3.1
8.8
9.6
7.3
4.2
1.9
2
1.5
3.4
3.8
2.9
1.7
0.8
3
0.4
0.9
1.0
0.8
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.