Saturday 16 December 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
80%
13%
7%
Home win
79.7%
Draw
13.4%
Away win
7.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.4% | 7.49 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 7.0% | 14.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.8% | 8.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Cagliari | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
8.4
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.3
|
8.0
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.3
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.2
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Cagliari
Dec 2025
Cagliari
1-0
AS Roma
Mar 2025
AS Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Aug 2024
Cagliari
0-0
AS Roma
Feb 2024
AS Roma
4-0
Cagliari
Oct 2023
Cagliari
1-4
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.