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Sunday 5 November 2017, 16:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
2–4
HT 2–2
24% 24% 52%
Home win
24.2%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
51.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 24.2% 4.14
Draw 24.1% 4.15
AS Roma 51.8% 1.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.43
Over 1.5 81.3% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.7% 5.34
Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 3.5 36.1% 2.77
Under 3.5 63.9% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 4.5 80.9% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.4% 1.68
No 40.6% 2.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 48.2% 2.07
Fiorentina / AS Roma 75.9% 1.32
Draw / AS Roma 75.8% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
8.2
8.1
5.0
2.3
0.8
1
5.1
11.2
9.7
6.0
2.7
1.0
2
3.4
6.3
5.8
3.6
1.6
0.6
3
1.4
2.5
2.3
1.4
0.7
0.2
4
0.4
0.8
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.