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Saturday 28 October 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
73% 18% 9%
Home win
73.4%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
8.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 73.4% 1.36
Draw 18.1% 5.52
Bologna 8.5% 11.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.01
Over 1.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.7% 4.60
Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.7% 2.19
Over 3.5 32.0% 3.12
Under 3.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.1% 6.22
Under 4.5 83.9% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 91.5% 1.09
AS Roma / Bologna 81.9% 1.22
Draw / Bologna 26.6% 3.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
3.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
12.3
8.6
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.3
9.0
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.6
6.7
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.9
3.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.6
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.