Sunday 22 October 2017, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
61%
24%
15%
Home win
60.6%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
15.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Bologna | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Bologna | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
11.4
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.5
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atalanta
0-1
Bologna
Jan 2026
Bologna
0-2
Atalanta
Apr 2025
Atalanta
2-0
Bologna
Sep 2024
Bologna
1-1
Atalanta
Mar 2024
Atalanta
1-2
Bologna
Dec 2023
Bologna
1-0
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.