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Sunday 1 October 2017, 21:45 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
2–2
HT 1–2
26% 29% 45%
Home win
25.8%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
45.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 25.8% 3.88
Draw 29.0% 3.45
Juventus 45.2% 2.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.53
Over 1.5 68.4% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.6% 3.16
Over 2.5 41.2% 2.43
Under 2.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.7% 4.83
Under 3.5 79.3% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.45
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13
No 53.1% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 54.8% 1.83
Atalanta / Juventus 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Juventus 74.2% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
12.5
9.1
4.1
1.4
0.4
1
8.6
13.6
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
4.5
6.2
4.2
1.9
0.7
0.2
3
1.5
2.0
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.