Sunday 27 August 2017, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
59%
23%
18%
Home win
58.6%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
18.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 18.4% | 5.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Napoli / Atalanta | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
4.6
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
10.8
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
10.0
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
3.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Atalanta
2-1
Napoli
Nov 2025
Napoli
3-1
Atalanta
Jan 2025
Atalanta
2-3
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
Mar 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
Nov 2023
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.