Saturday 9 December 2017, 19:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
31%
25%
44%
Home win
31.4%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
44.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.9% | 5.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.1% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Sampdoria | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
6.6
|
6.3
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.1
|
9.1
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.3
|
7.5
|
6.5
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.6
|
3.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
Cagliari
Oct 2021
Cagliari
3-1
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Cagliari
Nov 2020
Cagliari
2-0
Sampdoria
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Cagliari
Dec 2019
Cagliari
4-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.