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Sunday 5 November 2017, 16:00 Sardegna Arena Full time
57% 24% 19%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
18.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 57.1% 1.75
Draw 24.1% 4.14
Hellas Verona 18.8% 5.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.39
Over 1.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.1% 4.34
Over 2.5 52.2% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Over 3.5 30.0% 3.33
Under 3.5 70.0% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.80
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.0% 1.92
No 48.0% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 81.2% 1.23
Cagliari / Hellas Verona 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Hellas Verona 42.9% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
5.3
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.8
11.5
5.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.4
9.9
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
6.3
6.0
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.9
2.7
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Hellas Verona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.