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Wednesday 25 October 2017, 19:30 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
75% 17% 8%
Home win
74.6%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
8.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 74.6% 1.34
Draw 17.4% 5.76
Hellas Verona 8.0% 12.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.98
Over 1.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.8% 4.82
Over 2.5 55.7% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.3% 2.26
Over 3.5 33.4% 3.00
Under 3.5 66.6% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.1% 5.86
Under 4.5 82.9% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 92.0% 1.09
Atalanta / Hellas Verona 82.6% 1.21
Draw / Hellas Verona 25.4% 3.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
2.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
12.0
8.2
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.2
8.9
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.9
6.8
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
6.2
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
2.8
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Hellas Verona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.