Saturday 30 December 2017, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
65%
21%
14%
Home win
64.8%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
14.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 14.4% | 6.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.0% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Cagliari | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
9.9
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.9
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
7.0
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Cagliari
3-2
Atalanta
Dec 2025
Atalanta
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Cagliari
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta
Apr 2024
Cagliari
2-1
Atalanta
Sep 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.