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Saturday 23 December 2017, 16:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
20% 23% 57%
Home win
20.0%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
56.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 20.0% 4.99
Draw 23.2% 4.31
Inter 56.8% 1.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.85
Over 1.5 80.7% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.3% 5.18
Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.4% 2.36
Over 3.5 35.2% 2.84
Under 3.5 64.8% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.5% 5.42
Under 4.5 81.6% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.8% 1.76
No 43.2% 2.31

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 43.2% 2.31
Sassuolo / Inter 76.8% 1.30
Draw / Inter 80.0% 1.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
9.0
9.3
6.0
2.9
1.1
1
4.7
10.9
9.9
6.4
3.1
1.2
2
2.9
5.5
5.3
3.4
1.6
0.6
3
1.0
2.0
1.9
1.2
0.6
0.2
4
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.