Sunday 17 December 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
56%
23%
21%
Home win
56.2%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
20.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Sassuolo | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
4.5
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
10.6
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
9.9
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
6.5
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
3.2
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Sampdoria
2-2
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
Sampdoria
Feb 2022
Sampdoria
4-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2021
Sassuolo
0-0
Sampdoria
Apr 2021
Sassuolo
1-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
2-3
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.