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Sunday 3 December 2017, 16:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
59% 22% 19%
Home win
58.5%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
19.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 58.5% 1.71
Draw 22.0% 4.55
Sassuolo 19.5% 5.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.51
Over 1.5 83.4% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.6% 6.04
Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Under 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Over 3.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 3.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 4.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 4.5 78.1% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.7% 1.68
No 40.3% 2.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 80.5% 1.24
Fiorentina / Sassuolo 78.0% 1.28
Draw / Sassuolo 41.5% 2.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
4.0
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
7.9
10.1
5.4
2.0
0.6
0.1
2
8.8
9.9
5.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
6.0
6.8
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
3.1
3.5
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.