Sunday 26 November 2017, 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
60%
20%
20%
Home win
60.3%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 20.1% | 4.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.6% | 38.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.0% | 9.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| No | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Lazio / Fiorentina | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
4.9
|
7.8
|
5.1
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
9.0
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
7.3
|
5.1
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
4.5
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
2.2
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Fiorentina
1-0
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
2-2
Fiorentina
Jan 2025
Lazio
1-2
Fiorentina
Sep 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Feb 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Oct 2023
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.