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Sunday 29 October 2017, 13:30 Stadio Ciro Vigorito Full time
1–5
HT 0–3
6% 14% 79%
Home win
6.4%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
79.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento 6.4% 15.64
Draw 14.3% 7.02
Lazio 79.4% 1.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.84
Over 1.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.9% 6.30
Over 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.6% 2.73
Over 3.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 3.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.2% 4.32
Under 4.5 76.8% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.3% 2.26
No 55.7% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento / Draw 20.6% 4.84
Benevento / Lazio 85.7% 1.17
Draw / Lazio 93.6% 1.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
9.6
13.1
11.5
7.6
4.0
1
2.1
6.8
8.4
7.4
4.8
2.5
2
0.8
2.1
2.7
2.4
1.6
0.8
3
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.2
4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Benevento goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.