Sunday 1 October 2017, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
62%
20%
18%
Home win
62.1%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
18.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.9% | 5.03 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 18.0% | 5.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.5% | 8.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Lazio / Sassuolo | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
3.0
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
8.6
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.5
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.1
|
7.4
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
4.4
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lazio
2-1
Sassuolo
Sep 2025
Sassuolo
1-0
Lazio
May 2024
Lazio
1-1
Sassuolo
Oct 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio
May 2023
Lazio
2-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.