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Sunday 27 August 2017, 19:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
52% 22% 27%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 51.5% 1.94
Draw 21.5% 4.64
Sassuolo 27.0% 3.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.9% 34.67
Over 1.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.9% 9.21
Over 2.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 3.5 51.2% 1.95
Under 3.5 48.8% 2.05
Over 4.5 31.9% 3.14
Under 4.5 68.1% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.4% 1.42
No 29.6% 3.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Torino / Sassuolo 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Sassuolo 48.5% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
3.2
2.9
1.5
0.6
0.2
1
4.7
8.6
6.3
3.3
1.3
0.4
2
5.7
8.8
6.9
3.6
1.4
0.4
3
4.1
6.4
5.0
2.6
1.0
0.3
4
2.2
3.5
2.7
1.4
0.5
0.2
5
1.0
1.5
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.