Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:45
Sardegna Arena
Full time
42%
24%
34%
Home win
41.9%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
34.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.3% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Sassuolo | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
4.8
|
4.3
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
10.2
|
7.7
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
8.6
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
5.1
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.3
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Sassuolo
2-1
Cagliari
Oct 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Sassuolo
May 2024
Sassuolo
0-2
Cagliari
Dec 2023
Cagliari
2-1
Sassuolo
Apr 2022
Cagliari
1-0
Sassuolo
Nov 2021
Sassuolo
2-2
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.