Sunday 5 November 2017, 21:45
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
32%
27%
40%
Home win
32.4%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
40.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.2% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / AC Milan | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
9.0
|
6.9
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
13.0
|
8.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
7.7
|
5.5
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.2
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sassuolo
2-0
AC Milan
Dec 2025
AC Milan
2-2
Sassuolo
Apr 2024
Sassuolo
3-3
AC Milan
Dec 2023
AC Milan
1-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Aug 2022
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.