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Saturday 16 December 2017, 16:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–3
HT 1–1
67% 20% 14%
Home win
66.6%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
13.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 66.6% 1.50
Draw 19.7% 5.06
Udinese 13.6% 7.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.96
Over 1.5 82.9% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.1% 5.84
Over 2.5 61.2% 1.64
Under 2.5 38.8% 2.57
Over 3.5 38.8% 2.57
Under 3.5 61.2% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.2% 4.71
Under 4.5 78.8% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.3% 1.84
No 45.7% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 86.4% 1.16
Inter / Udinese 80.3% 1.25
Draw / Udinese 33.4% 3.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
3.4
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
9.0
9.3
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
10.6
9.8
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
7.9
7.3
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
4.4
4.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.