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Sunday 29 October 2017, 16:00 Dacia Arena Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
28% 26% 46%
Home win
28.0%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
45.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 28.0% 3.57
Draw 26.1% 3.83
Atalanta 45.9% 2.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.71
Over 1.5 77.5% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.5% 4.45
Over 2.5 53.0% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.0% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.7% 3.25
Under 3.5 69.3% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.58
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.4% 1.77
No 43.6% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 54.1% 1.85
Udinese / Atalanta 73.9% 1.35
Draw / Atalanta 72.0% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
9.0
7.8
4.1
1.7
0.5
1
6.6
12.4
9.3
5.0
2.0
0.6
2
4.4
7.0
5.6
3.0
1.2
0.4
3
1.8
2.8
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.2
4
0.5
0.8
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Atalanta goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.