Sunday 11 February 2018, 13:30
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
42%
26%
32%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
32.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Cagliari | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
7.0
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
12.5
|
7.7
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
8.9
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
4.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Sassuolo
2-1
Cagliari
Oct 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Sassuolo
May 2024
Sassuolo
0-2
Cagliari
Dec 2023
Cagliari
2-1
Sassuolo
Apr 2022
Cagliari
1-0
Sassuolo
Nov 2021
Sassuolo
2-2
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.