Sunday 4 February 2018, 16:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
46%
26%
28%
Home win
45.7%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
28.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Spal | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Spal | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
6.5
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
12.3
|
7.1
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
9.3
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
5.0
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2020
Spal
0-1
Cagliari
Oct 2019
Cagliari
2-0
Spal
Apr 2019
Cagliari
2-1
Spal
Nov 2018
Spal
2-2
Cagliari
Sep 2017
Spal
0-2
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.